Watch this insightful video clip of a Bloomberg interview of Marc Faber. Will we see a correction in the market soon?

The whole nation is busy with watching and discussing about politics these past few months. The election was really something that us Pinoys love to spend our time with, campaigning for our candidates and all that – a cycle we go through every 3 years (during elections). Had we been in the U.S. or some other developed nation, people will be busy talking about what’s happening at the stock market.

So what is happening to the stock market? People have discounted the market as a place to invest money into partly because of the recent world-wide financial turmoil, but largely because of financial ignorance. Here’s what you miss… in the last 12 months, our local stock market index or the Phisix has steadily been increasing. A year ago, the index was at about 2200 points. As of yesterday, the market is hovering at about 3200 points. Simply put, had you invested P 1,000.00 in May 2009, your money would have grown to about P1,500 today – a whopping 50% annual rate of return.

Our local market has been performing positively and to the few who took a risk of investing a year ago, they are smiling today. I know of a lot of people who purposely stayed away from the market because they say that during an election year, one should stay off investing.  I don’t why we torture ourselves of doom and gloom scenarios every time we elect our leaders anyway. For those who were paralyzed with our periodic doom and gloom fantasies, you missed making your portfolio grow by a enormous 50% return!

Does this mean that you should go and empty your bank and head on to your stock broker? Wooah! Hold your horses. The stock market, though it gave a very good performance in the last 12 months, is still not for everyone. One should go through a process before making any investments regardless if it’s buying stocks, bonds, mutual funds, uitf, real estate or any other form of investment. Remember to be clear about a few things first: your investment objective, your risk tolerance, your time frame and your risk tolerance.  If investing in the stock market will help you achieve your financial goal, you can take the volatility of market, you are willing to leave your money for a while and you have rudimentary understanding of how the stock market works – then go! However, if you will lose a lot of sleep (and sanity) whenever the stock market moves south, don’t go there even if you can see surges in the market like 50% in a year.  Remember, an investment that can give you a 50% hike in a year can also make you lose as much in the same period. Returns will always be determined by the risks you take – always has, always will! I can’t believe there are still detestable beings preying on the innocent (or the ignorant) making them believe that what they offer is high yield but low risk. Whenever someone offers you an investment that will make your money grow with very minimal risk, he is either misrepresenting or he is scamming you.

Will the market continue on an upward trend like the last 12 months? I have no idea. All I know is that what goes up must come down at some point. However, if you are willing to be patient and will not mind the gyration of the Phisix, then go ahead and allocate part of your money but always be prudent and sensible. Do not put all your eggs in one basket and diversify. If you are not comfortable with letting go of your money, always remember that the money you do not invest will be safe but it does not mean that it will not lose value. Inflation is constant and an invisible risk we are all exposed to. Here’s a very sensible tip that I got from my good friend Efren Cruz: “Invest early, invest wisely and invest regularly”.

“After a long time the master of those servants returned and settled accounts with them.  The man who had received the five talents brought the other five. ‘Master,’ he said, ‘you entrusted me with five talents. See, I have gained five more.'”His master replied, ‘Well done, good and faithful servant! You have been faithful with a few things; I will put you in charge of many things. Come and share your master’s happiness!’”

-– Matthew 29:19-21, NIV

INDEX  3,000 in November. The index finally got over the hump, breaking the 3,000 index level last November 11.

Bitten by the Gold bugs. Rising gold prices was a also a positive catalyst as it reached $1,174/ ozt in November, helping PX reach P20/ share

Outperformers. Universal Robina Corp (URC up 20%) which is finally catching up with its book value of P15.50/ share.

Ayala Land (ALI up 20%) also attracted foreign buying after 3Q09 results showed recovery in residential revenues (which accounts for 42% of Operating Income).

Underperformers. Laggards for the month were Megaworld Corp (MEG dn 4%) and Energy Development Corp (EDC fell 3.6%).

Strategy. Global equities suffered a setback from Dubai World’s request for a “standstill” on debts worth $60 bn.

ADVICE: Better be waiting in the sidelines than brave a potential storm brewing.