The rising cost of goods and services have been a big concern to us Filipinos for many months now. Official numbers puts inflation at around 4% but it seems that the rising prices goes beyond the official numbers. Generally, the barometer to measure inflation is the Consumer Price Index of the CPI. An earlier 3 part blog delved a lot about the rising prices and how we can survive amidst the higher cost of goods and services. For me, CPI is not a very realistic measurement of personal inflation since there are many items in our budget that are not being measured in the index such as education, among others. We all experience that tuition and education related expenses are somewhere between 5 to as much as 12% and if education composes a big chunk of our budgets, actual realized inflation will be much higher than the index.

Read Rising prices blog, part 1, part 2, part 3

I was listening to a podcast earlier and hyperinflation in Zimbabwe was referred to in a coy manner. Zimbabwe has suffered an incredible rise in prices in the past that actual measurement of inflation is rather moot. It was said that hyperinflation in that African country was so bad that prices doubles every 30 hours or so.

Just what is hyperinflation anyway? Investopedia has this to say:

Extremely rapid or out of control inflation. There is no precise numerical definition to hyperinflation. Hyperinflation is a situation where the price increases are so out of control that the concept of inflation is meaningless.

Investopedia further explains…

When associated with depressions, hyperinflation often occurs when there is a large increase in the money supply not supported by gross domestic product (GDP) growth, resulting in an imbalance in the supply and demand for the money. Left unchecked this causes prices to increase, as the currency loses its value.

One of the most famous examples of hyperinflation occurred in Germany between January 1922 and November 1923. By some estimates, the average price level increased by a factor of 20 billion, doubling every 28 hours.

The experience of Zimbabwe is now for the books… they actually have multi-billion dollar notes so the term ‘Billionaire’ does not really mean anything there. The good news is Zimbabwe has since been able to curb its unbelievable hyperinflation and is trying to put it’s macroeconomic situation in order.

Looking at the situation of Zimbabwe or even other countries which registers double-digit inflation gives us a bit of relief and we must acknowledge that we are still a blessed nation despite our many issues.  There are many things we should be thankful for, we just need to be reminded from time to time.

Let them thank the LORD for his steadfast love, for his wondrous works to the children of man! – Psalm 107:15 (English Standard Version)

Inflation has been rising. Government says it is now beyond 4% and many institutions are saying that we can expect inflation to breach the 5% mark very soon. The government already conceded that it will miss its inflation target — what they are not saying is they are missing the target by a mile.  The other day, I passed by the gas station to get some unleaded fuel and told the gasoline attendant to pump me P 1,000 worth of fuel. For a cheapskate like me, that’s a lot of money to part but we all need to spend, whether we like it or not.  As I was watching the pump, I was surprised to see that my precious 1,000 bucks was only able to buy a little over 17 liters of fuel! The nostalgic in me reminisced about the bygone years where pumping 500 pesos was enough to fill my gas tank – oh the glory days! It’s not just fuel that reduced my purchasing power, the same applies whenever we buy groceries, pay for bills, eat at restaurants and the like.

From my perspective, I don’t think inflation is just at 4 to 5% — and my wallet agrees with me.

Just what is inflation? Investopedia defines inflation as “the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and, subsequently, purchasing power is falling. Central banks attempt to stop severe inflation, along with severe deflation, in an attempt to keep the excessive growth of prices to a minimum.” In practical terms, it means that prices will rise according to the inflation rate over one year (per annum); if inflation is at 4%, a P100 per kilogram of Chicken today will cost P104 per kilogram next year.  Consumer Price Index or CPI is the barometer to which inflation is measured. In general, the consumer price index reflects changes in the cost to the average consumer of acquiring a basket of goods and services that may be fixed or changed at specified intervals, such as yearly. The basket includes the most basic goods the average Filipino family consumes – general food items, utilities, oil, etc.

Alright, enough economic gibberish – no one wants to be reminded of the boring economics classes we had to take during our student days. Unfortunately, the ‘boring economics’ we all hate is pretty much the reason why we are all dumbfounded – trying to figure why the value of money in our wallets are shrinking.

Our knee jerk reaction to rising prices is always to be overwhelmed, and for a good reason. I’m not sure if this applies to other folks but here’s how I react whenever inflation is very high: disbelief, anger, frustration, blame, acceptance, indifference. I get shocked that prices goes up so fast so soon (like fuel); then I am annoyed as to why prices are going up such as external factors (middle east situation, financial crisis, etc.); I move on to being frustrated – frustrated at the government for not making the right responses, frustrated at myself for my microscopic income; then I blame the government for being inept and sometimes blame myself for missed business opportunities that would have cushioned the rising prices; I slowly begin accepting the harsh economic realities that life is as such and there’s really nothing I can do about it; finally, I move to being indifferent – after all, my ramblings will not bring prices down and I resign to the fact that there’s nothing I can do.

… to be continued.